Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 2.601463 3.104100 3.652033 4.290507 5.010754 5.794842 6.709625
2026-02-08 1.818274 2.453498 3.208687 4.159775 5.312055 6.649357 8.304354
2026-02-15 1.314306 2.002316 2.891086 4.092644 5.641972 7.539293 10.002399
2026-02-22 1.044220 1.780535 2.805652 4.278945 6.279519 8.837477 12.284691
2026-03-01 0.791063 1.518803 2.612648 4.282004 6.662818 9.830509 14.245560
2026-03-08 0.549235 1.207935 2.285747 4.038927 6.668381 10.308579 15.551639
2026-03-15 0.388484 0.982676 2.040551 3.868908 6.741035 10.861098 16.968791
2026-03-22 0.325931 0.919789 2.046848 4.082911 7.388064 12.247788 19.595134
2026-03-29 0.288628 0.896982 2.116628 4.402694 8.214367 13.930980 22.709754
2026-04-05 0.248746 0.855797 2.143357 4.647358 8.933511 15.486111 25.700102
2026-04-12 0.195210 0.762694 2.051459 4.669049 9.287476 16.503550 27.942241
2026-04-19 0.141825 0.646506 1.887852 4.535755 9.366334 17.094253 29.566663
2026-04-26 0.101541 0.548776 1.745611 4.429204 9.490062 17.775302 31.381277
2026-05-03 0.071730 0.466166 1.617706 4.331099 9.615582 18.459466 33.222501
2026-05-10 0.051342 0.403274 1.521847 4.283598 9.823884 19.282512 35.304879
2026-05-17 0.043162 0.387141 1.544501 4.490220 10.512415 20.923948 38.723057
2026-05-24 0.031621 0.344159 1.482527 4.501817 10.832052 21.959200 41.211498
2026-05-31 0.018505 0.273508 1.317664 4.254144 10.630176 22.095142 42.257279
2026-06-07 0.010817 0.222210 1.193487 4.080140 10.552945 22.433224 43.631840
2026-06-14 0.009109 0.218309 1.229173 4.304791 11.294536 24.232718 47.456995
2026-06-21 0.008502 0.225095 1.305095 4.638820 12.277444 26.489562 52.092676
2026-06-28 0.007306 0.223387 1.349181 4.894124 13.108286 28.498619 56.360355
2026-07-05 0.004950 0.200722 1.306762 4.917154 13.452216 29.643621 59.209916